Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.Hongxin Electronics: Promote the technical research and development and product supply of folding mobile phone reels with Xiaomi. Hongxin Electronics officially announced today that recently, the 2024 Xiaomi Global Core Supplier Conference was held in Beijing Yanqi Lake International Convention & Exhibition Center. Under the background that Xiaomi's strategy of "people, cars and homes are all ecological" continues to deepen, Hongxin Electronics will closely follow Xiaomi's footsteps, actively expand emerging fields such as home appliances and automobiles, and provide all-round support and services in flexible electronics for Xiaomi's intelligent hardware all-ecological products. At present, in the face of the booming folding mobile phone market, Hongxin Electronics and Xiaomi jointly promote the technology research and development and product supply of folding mobile phone reels. According to reports, in the era of vigorous development of artificial intelligence and digital economy, at present, Hongxin Electronics has deeply laid out frontier fields such as AI mobile phones, AIPC, smart cars, smart homes, smart wearable devices, robots, industrial control, medical care and meta-universe.Yu Chengdong Tik Tok rose more than 400,000 yuan overnight. On the evening of 12th, Yu Chengdong registered Tik Tok account, and the authentication information was displayed as "Managing Director of Huawei, Chairman of BG& BU, a terminal smart car solution". As of the 13th, the powder rose by over 400,000 overnight. (Oriental Finance)
China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The exposure of Xiaomi Auto to the sea is accelerated, and overseas sales will be carried out around the local Xiaomi Home store. Many sources say that Xiaomi Auto is preparing to build a car business to the sea. The international department of Xiaomi Group has added a preparation team for the sea sales business, and is recruiting positions such as market research, project management and electric vehicle after-sales engineers. Under the Ministry of Automobile, Xiaomi's autonomous driving department has added a number of jobs for overseas markets to solve the problem of overseas legal verification and function landing of autonomous driving function. It is foreseeable that autonomous driving will be one of the key points of Xiaomi Automobile's betting on the sea. The report quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that after the formation of the team, Xiaomi will sell small quantities of cars overseas in recent years to test the market reaction and prepare for the large-scale development of the sea business. The overseas sales of Xiaomi Automobile will mainly rely on the Xiaomi Home store under the International Department. At present, Xiaomi has more than 100 direct stores overseas. In July this year, Lei Jun replied, "When can I buy Xiaomi cars in France?" The goal is to sell Xiaomi brand cars in Europe before 2030. Judging from the speed of the formation of Xiaomi Auto's sea team, this progress is likely to be accelerated. (36Kr Auto)
The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 394.6 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 596.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 11.1 billion yuan.It is predicted that the State Council Press Office will hold a press conference at 10 am on Monday, December 16th, 2024, and ask Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics and head of the National Economic Statistics Department, to introduce the national economic operation in November 2024 and answer questions from reporters.Defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and Li Tie's defender was interviewed by CCTV reporters outside the court. Regarding the first-instance judgment that Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years, the defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and he would negotiate with Li Tie again. Regarding the state of Li Tie's trial today, the defender's answer is: calm, peaceful and stable. (Tiantian Sports)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14